Weather
Sky, snow and light
You will be in two climates. The waypoint, at 1,285 m, has the weather of Grande Cache. The ridge point is 707 m higher: about 5 degrees colder at the usual rate, and windier.
Forecast
At the waypoint, 1,285 m
Forecast as of 2026-09-29 23:06 UTC. With a connection this strip refreshes itself.
On the ridge, 1,991 m
Forecast as of 2026-09-29 23:06 UTC. With a connection this strip refreshes itself.
Highs and lows in °C, wind in km/h. The forecast model works on a coarse grid and scales its temperatures to 1298 m for the waypoint and 1957 m for the ridge point. Ridge top wind will run stronger than shown.
For a second opinion before you leave town:
- Environment Canada, Grande Cache: the official forecast and any warnings, for the valley.
- SpotWx: Canadian high resolution model runs for the ridge point.
- Windy: wind at ridge height, animated.
- Avalanche Canada, North Rockies: once the snow is down. Forecasts run in winter only.
- Alberta fire bans and 511 Alberta for Highway 40.
Ten autumns at ridge height
There is no weather station on Caw Ridge. What follows is the ERA5 reanalysis, a reconstruction of past weather from every observation available, read at the ridge point and adjusted to 1991 m, for the autumns of 2016 to 2025. It is a model of the past and smooths the extremes, the wind most of all. At the waypoint, 707 m lower, add about 5 degrees to every temperature.
Average daily range of temperature
Mean daily low to mean daily high by week, °C, at the ridge point, 1991 m
Show the numbers
| Week of | Mean high | Mean low | Warmest day | Coldest night | Days with new snow | Days with rain or snow | Wind km/h | Gust km/h | Top gust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep | 13.0 | 3.6 | 23 | -3 | 3% | 34% | 16 | 45 | 80 |
| 8 Sep | 10.5 | 1.6 | 20 | -14 | 7% | 40% | 16 | 43 | 88 |
| 15 Sep | 7.5 | -0.6 | 19 | -11 | 19% | 43% | 16 | 43 | 84 |
| 22 Sep | 6.7 | -0.7 | 17 | -11 | 10% | 50% | 20 | 53 | 95 |
| 29 Sep | 4.4 | -3.1 | 15 | -19 | 26% | 34% | 17 | 45 | 80 |
| 6 Oct | 2.6 | -5.4 | 16 | -19 | 29% | 43% | 17 | 47 | 85 |
| 13 Oct | 2.0 | -5.1 | 16 | -23 | 37% | 46% | 18 | 48 | 84 |
| 20 Oct | -1.1 | -8.0 | 12 | -25 | 34% | 46% | 19 | 50 | 96 |
| 27 Oct | -2.0 | -8.9 | 8 | -24 | 34% | 51% | 19 | 49 | 102 |
| 3 Nov | -4.1 | -11.2 | 7 | -27 | 39% | 49% | 19 | 51 | 87 |
| 10 Nov | -4.1 | -10.3 | 3 | -26 | 36% | 46% | 19 | 52 | 89 |
| 17 Nov | -4.8 | -10.8 | 7 | -23 | 37% | 44% | 20 | 53 | 92 |
| 24 Nov | -6.9 | -13.2 | 4 | -31 | 43% | 53% | 19 | 51 | 92 |
In the week of 29 Sep, an average day on the ridge runs from -3° at night to 4° in the afternoon. The coldest night in the record for that week was -19°C. New snow fell on 26% of days, and the day's strongest gust averaged 45 km/h. By the first week of November the average afternoon is below freezing.
Wind
Where the wind comes from
Share of days by prevailing direction, 15 September to 30 November
The wind on Caw Ridge is a westerly wind. It came from the south-west on 69% of autumn days in the record, and from the west or south-west on 74%. Plan on it: approach from the east and north-east, glass from the lee side of a crest, and expect your scent to pour down the eastern slopes.
Thermals work under the prevailing wind when it is light. They run uphill on sunlit slopes from mid-morning and downhill from dusk to dawn.
A steady 30 km/h wind at -5°C feels like -13°C on bare skin. Gusts over 60 km/h are ordinary on the crest.
When the snow comes
Natural Resources Canada has read every clear Landsat and Sentinel-2 image of seven winters and worked out, for each 30 m cell in the country, when the snow arrived. At your two points:
| Winter | First snow at the waypoint | Known to within | First snow at the ridge point | Known to within |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-2019 | 26 Sep | 6 days either way | 23 Sep | 6 days either way |
| 2019-2020 | 23 Sep | 8 days either way | 23 Sep | 13 days either way |
| 2020-2021 | 9 Nov | 2 days either way | 1 Dec Cloud gap | 60 days either way |
| 2021-2022 | 17 Oct | 2 days either way | 10 Oct | 10 days either way |
| 2022-2023 | 20 Oct | 2 days either way | 20 Oct | 2 days either way |
| 2023-2024 | 23 Oct | 4 days either way | 25 Dec Cloud gap | 28 days either way |
| 2024-2025 | 21 Oct | 8 days either way | 21 Oct | 8 days either way |
A satellite sees the ground only between clouds, so each date is the midpoint between the last snow free view and the first white one. Where the gap was more than a fortnight the date is marked and should be set aside. In the winters with a good record the first snow came to the ridge point between 23 Sep and 21 Oct, and to the waypoint between 23 Sep and 9 Nov. In most of those winters the two dates fall within a week of each other: the first storm of the autumn whitens the valley and the ridge together. On a windswept crest the snow also leaves again: the ridge can blow bare in a chinook and whiten the next night.

Early season avalanches
The first snows of autumn fall on bare, smooth tundra and rock and are moved about by wind into slabs on lee slopes. A slope of 30 to 45 degrees below a crest, loaded by a west wind, is where an October slab releases. The slope map shows where those angles are. If the snow is over your boots and the slope is steep, go around.
Legal light, sun and moon
Times are for the waypoint on a level horizon, in clock time. Legal hunting hours run from half an hour before sunrise to half an hour after sunset. Clocks go back one hour on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Daylight through the season
Clock time of legal light (pale band) and of the sun above the horizon (darker band)
| Date | Legal from | Sunrise | Sunset | Legal until | Day length | First light | Last light | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 28 Sep | 7:24 | 7:54 | 19:40 | 20:10 | 11h 46m | 7:19 | 20:16 | 92% waning gibbous |
| Tue 29 Sep | 7:26 | 7:56 | 19:38 | 20:08 | 11h 42m | 7:21 | 20:13 | 85% waning gibbous |
| Wed 30 Sep | 7:28 | 7:58 | 19:35 | 20:05 | 11h 38m | 7:23 | 20:11 | 76% waning gibbous |
| Thu 1 Oct | 7:30 | 8:00 | 19:33 | 20:03 | 11h 33m | 7:24 | 20:08 | 65% waning gibbous |
| Fri 2 Oct | 7:32 | 8:02 | 19:31 | 20:01 | 11h 29m | 7:26 | 20:06 | 54% last quarter |
| Sat 3 Oct | 7:33 | 8:03 | 19:28 | 19:58 | 11h 25m | 7:28 | 20:03 | 42% last quarter |
| Sun 4 Oct | 7:35 | 8:05 | 19:26 | 19:56 | 11h 20m | 7:30 | 20:01 | 31% waning crescent |
| Mon 5 Oct | 7:37 | 8:07 | 19:23 | 19:53 | 11h 16m | 7:32 | 19:58 | 21% waning crescent |
| Tue 6 Oct | 7:39 | 8:09 | 19:21 | 19:51 | 11h 12m | 7:33 | 19:56 | 13% waning crescent |
| Wed 7 Oct | 7:41 | 8:11 | 19:18 | 19:48 | 11h 08m | 7:35 | 19:54 | 7% waning crescent |
| Thu 8 Oct | 7:43 | 8:13 | 19:16 | 19:46 | 11h 03m | 7:37 | 19:51 | 2% waning crescent |
| Fri 9 Oct | 7:44 | 8:14 | 19:13 | 19:43 | 10h 59m | 7:39 | 19:49 | 0% new |
| Sat 10 Oct | 7:46 | 8:16 | 19:11 | 19:41 | 10h 55m | 7:41 | 19:47 | 0% new |
| Sun 11 Oct | 7:48 | 8:18 | 19:09 | 19:39 | 10h 50m | 7:43 | 19:44 | 3% waxing crescent |
| Mon 12 Oct | 7:50 | 8:20 | 19:06 | 19:36 | 10h 46m | 7:44 | 19:42 | 7% waxing crescent |
| Tue 13 Oct | 7:52 | 8:22 | 19:04 | 19:34 | 10h 42m | 7:46 | 19:40 | 13% waxing crescent |
| Wed 14 Oct | 7:54 | 8:24 | 19:02 | 19:32 | 10h 38m | 7:48 | 19:37 | 20% waxing crescent |
| Thu 15 Oct | 7:56 | 8:26 | 18:59 | 19:29 | 10h 34m | 7:50 | 19:35 | 28% waxing crescent |
| Fri 16 Oct | 7:58 | 8:28 | 18:57 | 19:27 | 10h 29m | 7:52 | 19:33 | 37% waxing crescent |
| Sat 17 Oct | 8:00 | 8:30 | 18:55 | 19:25 | 10h 25m | 7:54 | 19:31 | 46% first quarter |
| Sun 18 Oct | 8:01 | 8:31 | 18:52 | 19:22 | 10h 21m | 7:55 | 19:28 | 56% first quarter |
| Mon 19 Oct | 8:03 | 8:33 | 18:50 | 19:20 | 10h 17m | 7:57 | 19:26 | 65% waxing gibbous |
| Tue 20 Oct | 8:05 | 8:35 | 18:48 | 19:18 | 10h 12m | 7:59 | 19:24 | 74% waxing gibbous |
| Wed 21 Oct | 8:07 | 8:37 | 18:46 | 19:16 | 10h 08m | 8:01 | 19:22 | 82% waxing gibbous |
| Thu 22 Oct | 8:09 | 8:39 | 18:43 | 19:13 | 10h 04m | 8:03 | 19:20 | 90% waxing gibbous |
| Fri 23 Oct | 8:11 | 8:41 | 18:41 | 19:11 | 10h 00m | 8:05 | 19:18 | 95% waxing gibbous |
| Sat 24 Oct | 8:13 | 8:43 | 18:39 | 19:09 | 9h 56m | 8:06 | 19:16 | 99% waxing gibbous |
| Sun 25 Oct | 8:15 | 8:45 | 18:37 | 19:07 | 9h 52m | 8:08 | 19:13 | 100% full |
| Mon 26 Oct | 8:17 | 8:47 | 18:35 | 19:05 | 9h 48m | 8:10 | 19:11 | 98% waning gibbous |
| Tue 27 Oct | 8:19 | 8:49 | 18:32 | 19:02 | 9h 44m | 8:12 | 19:09 | 94% waning gibbous |
| Wed 28 Oct | 8:21 | 8:51 | 18:30 | 19:00 | 9h 40m | 8:14 | 19:07 | 87% waning gibbous |
| Thu 29 Oct | 8:23 | 8:53 | 18:28 | 18:58 | 9h 36m | 8:16 | 19:06 | 79% waning gibbous |
| Fri 30 Oct | 8:25 | 8:55 | 18:26 | 18:56 | 9h 31m | 8:17 | 19:04 | 68% waning gibbous |
| Sat 31 Oct | 8:27 | 8:57 | 18:24 | 18:54 | 9h 28m | 8:19 | 19:02 | 57% last quarter |
| Sun 1 Nov | 7:29 | 7:59 | 17:22 | 17:52 | 9h 24m | 7:21 | 18:00 | 46% last quarter |
| Mon 2 Nov | 7:31 | 8:01 | 17:20 | 17:50 | 9h 20m | 7:23 | 17:58 | 35% waning crescent |
| Tue 3 Nov | 7:33 | 8:03 | 17:18 | 17:48 | 9h 16m | 7:25 | 17:56 | 25% waning crescent |
| Wed 4 Nov | 7:35 | 8:05 | 17:16 | 17:46 | 9h 12m | 7:26 | 17:54 | 16% waning crescent |
| Thu 5 Nov | 7:37 | 8:07 | 17:14 | 17:44 | 9h 08m | 7:28 | 17:53 | 9% waning crescent |
| Fri 6 Nov | 7:38 | 8:08 | 17:13 | 17:43 | 9h 04m | 7:30 | 17:51 | 4% waning crescent |
| Sat 7 Nov | 7:40 | 8:10 | 17:11 | 17:41 | 9h 00m | 7:32 | 17:49 | 1% waning crescent |
| Sun 8 Nov | 7:42 | 8:12 | 17:09 | 17:39 | 8h 57m | 7:34 | 17:48 | 0% new |
| Mon 9 Nov | 7:44 | 8:14 | 17:07 | 17:37 | 8h 53m | 7:35 | 17:46 | 1% new |
| Tue 10 Nov | 7:46 | 8:16 | 17:05 | 17:35 | 8h 49m | 7:37 | 17:44 | 4% waxing crescent |
| Wed 11 Nov | 7:48 | 8:18 | 17:04 | 17:34 | 8h 46m | 7:39 | 17:43 | 8% waxing crescent |
| Thu 12 Nov | 7:50 | 8:20 | 17:02 | 17:32 | 8h 42m | 7:41 | 17:41 | 14% waxing crescent |
| Fri 13 Nov | 7:52 | 8:22 | 17:00 | 17:30 | 8h 38m | 7:43 | 17:40 | 21% waxing crescent |
| Sat 14 Nov | 7:54 | 8:24 | 16:59 | 17:29 | 8h 35m | 7:44 | 17:39 | 29% waxing crescent |
| Sun 15 Nov | 7:56 | 8:26 | 16:57 | 17:27 | 8h 31m | 7:46 | 17:37 | 38% waxing crescent |
| Mon 16 Nov | 7:58 | 8:28 | 16:56 | 17:26 | 8h 28m | 7:48 | 17:36 | 48% first quarter |
| Tue 17 Nov | 8:00 | 8:30 | 16:54 | 17:24 | 8h 25m | 7:49 | 17:35 | 58% first quarter |
| Wed 18 Nov | 8:02 | 8:32 | 16:53 | 17:23 | 8h 21m | 7:51 | 17:33 | 67% waxing gibbous |
| Thu 19 Nov | 8:03 | 8:33 | 16:52 | 17:22 | 8h 18m | 7:53 | 17:32 | 77% waxing gibbous |
| Fri 20 Nov | 8:05 | 8:35 | 16:50 | 17:20 | 8h 15m | 7:55 | 17:31 | 85% waxing gibbous |
| Sat 21 Nov | 8:07 | 8:37 | 16:49 | 17:19 | 8h 12m | 7:56 | 17:30 | 92% waxing gibbous |
| Sun 22 Nov | 8:09 | 8:39 | 16:48 | 17:18 | 8h 09m | 7:58 | 17:29 | 97% waxing gibbous |
| Mon 23 Nov | 8:11 | 8:41 | 16:46 | 17:16 | 8h 06m | 7:59 | 17:28 | 100% full |
| Tue 24 Nov | 8:12 | 8:42 | 16:45 | 17:15 | 8h 03m | 8:01 | 17:27 | 99% full |
| Wed 25 Nov | 8:14 | 8:44 | 16:44 | 17:14 | 8h 00m | 8:03 | 17:26 | 96% waning gibbous |
| Thu 26 Nov | 8:16 | 8:46 | 16:43 | 17:13 | 7h 57m | 8:04 | 17:25 | 90% waning gibbous |
| Fri 27 Nov | 8:17 | 8:47 | 16:42 | 17:12 | 7h 55m | 8:06 | 17:24 | 82% waning gibbous |
| Sat 28 Nov | 8:19 | 8:49 | 16:41 | 17:11 | 7h 52m | 8:07 | 17:23 | 72% waning gibbous |
| Sun 29 Nov | 8:21 | 8:51 | 16:40 | 17:10 | 7h 50m | 8:08 | 17:23 | 61% waning gibbous |
| Mon 30 Nov | 8:22 | 8:52 | 16:40 | 17:10 | 7h 47m | 8:10 | 17:22 | 50% last quarter |
First and last light are civil twilight, when the sun is six degrees below the horizon and there is enough light to walk by. Computed with the NOAA solar equations; good to about a minute. The terrain horizon is not counted, so the sun itself will show later and leave earlier in a basin.